LoL: 3v Team vs NCG Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season

Platform comparison

Market context

The League of Legends match between 3v Team and NCG Esports in the LRN Regular season, originally slated for 19 July, has been cancelled, leaving the Polymarket contract at a flat 50% YES probability for 3v Team. On-chain, this conditional token sits on Polygon, redeemable for USDC only if 3v Team secures a win; the cancellation clause explicitly triggers the 50-50 settlement, mirroring the current market price without requiring further trader action.

Historically, cancelled LoL fixtures in regional leagues like the LRN consistently resolve to 50-50 when no winner is determined, as seen in prior LRN Split 1 cancellations where markets froze at parity before settlement. Unlike matches ending in forfeiture, where the victor is declared immediately, a full cancellation voids the outcome entirely, forcing the protocol to honour the tie clause and distribute payouts equally between YES and NO holders.

Traders should monitor official LRN announcements for any rescheduling beyond the seven-day window, which would still trigger the 50-50 resolution, or confirmations of a replay that might shift odds if one team shows superior form. Recent coverage from NextSport confirms the match status as cancelled with a 0:0 score, reinforcing that no live gameplay occurred to alter the conditional token’s value [3]. With the settlement window closing on 20 July at 08:00 UTC, the on-chain mechanics will execute automatically, locking in the parity outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.