Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Team Spirit at 61% to win this DreamLeague Playoffs bo3 against Aurora, with the contract settled in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens. At that level, the market is treating Spirit as the modest favourite rather than a runaway pick, which is consistent with a playoff semifinal where draft edge, side selection and map variance can still swing a short series.

Comparable Dota 2 bo3 playoff markets usually tighten when a favourite has had an unstable group stage or when the opposing side has shown strong map pressure against top teams. In that setting, a 61% price implies the market is factoring in Spirit’s higher baseline level but not assigning them the sort of confidence that would sit above 70%. Aurora’s presence in the upper-bracket semifinal, and the fact that bookmakers have also had them competitive in recent pricing, supports a relatively balanced read rather than a lopsided one.

The main catalysts are simple: whether the match starts on schedule, whether roster or pause issues emerge, and whether the series is completed within the settlement window ending 2026-05-21T23:20:00Z. Sofascore listed the match for 17:00 UTC on 21 May, while CyberScore also had Aurora as a slight favourite in pre-match odds, which is a reminder that late market movement can come from external odds shifts as much as from team news. If the series is delayed, replayed, or interrupted, the contract’s resolution rules become just as important as the in-game result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.