Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing REKONIX at **25%** to beat OG in this best-of-three on Polygon, with USDC locked into conditional tokens that settle on the match result or, if the event is not decided within the rule window, the contract’s fallback outcome. The market is reacting to the closed-qualifier upper bracket final itself rather than a broader tournament narrative, so the key question is whether OG can convert its higher standing into a clean series win before the 7-day deadline.

The current price looks consistent with a clear but not overwhelming favourite on paper. GosuGamers lists OG at world ranking 18 and REKONIX at 61, while recent head-to-head records are split 1-1 across the two teams, which supports a view that REKONIX has some upset equity but is not the natural favourite.[4][2] Sofascore and Flashscore both show the same matchup in the International playoff setting, and Liquipedia records a prior OG win over REKONIX at BLAST Slam VI in February, giving traders a concrete recent reference point for how this pairing can play out.[1][8][3]

For traders, the main catalysts are simple: confirmed start time, any bracket delay, and whether the series is actually played to completion. GosuGamers had the match slated for 22 June at 09:30 UTC, which is close to the market’s listed schedule, so late schedule slips are the most relevant operational risk for a Polymarket settlement that uses on-chain conditional tokens in USDC.[4] If the match is postponed past the settlement window, fails to start, or is abandoned without a winner, the contract mechanics matter more than the scoreboard and can send the market to the non-standard fallback resolution instead of a straightforward REKONIX-or-OG outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.