Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Power Rangers | 0% Yellow Submarine |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% Yellow Submarine |
| Match Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% Yellow Submarine |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 0% Yellow Submarine | 100% Power Rangers |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Power Rangers and Yellow Submarine is currently underway at The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, with Map 1 in progress and the score at 0-0[1][3]. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 100% YES for a Power Rangers victory, implying the market views any other outcome as virtually impossible despite the match still being live[1]. The on-chain mechanics utilise USDC on the Polygon network, where conditional tokens lock the settlement value until the final result is confirmed, ensuring the payout is automated and immutable once the match concludes.
Historically, 100% pricing in live esports qualifiers often precedes a collapse when a lower-ranked team secures an unexpected map win, as seen in previous TI regional qualifiers where odds shifted dramatically after a single upset[5][6]. In comparable cases from the 2025 European Open Qualifiers, contracts trading at full certainty resolved to 50-50 only when matches were cancelled or ended in ties, which rarely occurs in active BO3 series[8]. The current probability reflects a heavy skew towards Power Rangers, yet traders should recall that even dominant teams can falter under the pressure of a lower-bracket quarterfinal, making the 100% tag a potential overreaction to early momentum.
Traders must monitor the live score updates and official tournament announcements for any delays beyond the seven-day settlement window, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution[1][2]. Key catalysts include the completion of Map 1 and the subsequent start of Map 2, as a single map loss by Power Rangers would immediately invalidate the 100% YES position[3]. Recent coverage from Liquipedia confirms Yellow Submarine’s Russian origin and their formation for TI 2015, suggesting they possess the experience to challenge even in a lower bracket, though no recent news source has indicated a specific roster change or cancellation[8]. The settlement window ends on 27 June 2026 at 20:40 UTC, so any delay past this point would alter the contract’s final value.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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