Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
45% | 55% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
45% | 55% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 45% Power Rangers | 55% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% Power Rangers | 0% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% TEAM VISION |
Market context
Power Rangers face TEAM VISION in the Upper Bracket quarterfinal 4 of The International 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, a Best-of-3 match originally set for 1:00 PM ET on 24 June. The crowd-implied probability sits at 84% YES for Power Rangers, yet live feeds and on-chain conditional tokens on Polygon (settled in USDC) already show a sharp divergence, with some Polymarket contracts pricing TEAM VISION closer to 96% likelihood as the first game progresses.
Historically, regional qualifier matches in Dota 2 have seen dramatic probability swings when a top-ranked team like TEAM VISION (World Ranking: 1) enters the bracket, often overturning early market favour for lower-tier opponents. In past TI Europe qualifiers, teams with world ranking 1 have won 78% of their BO3 matches against unranked or lower-ranked sides, even after losing the opening game, suggesting the current 84% YES for Power Rangers may be mispriced relative to TEAM VISION’s pedigree.
Traders should monitor the official match stream for forfeiture signals, as the market resolves to the winning team if a match ends via walkover or disqualification. Recent updates from GosuGamers confirm TEAM VISION’s active participation and readiness, with no delay notices posted as of 8 PM UTC. The settlement window closes on 24 June at 23:10 UTC, so any unresolved status beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution, making real-time score tracking essential for conditional token holders.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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