Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this Dota 2 upper-bracket semi between Team Falcons and PARIVISION at 100% YES, so the conditional token market on Polygon is effectively treating a Falcons win as fully locked in on current information. For users holding USDC positions, that means the contract is already near the top of its range rather than offering a balanced two-way book. The event itself is the DreamLeague Season 29 playoff meeting, originally scheduled for 21 May at 09:30 ET, with settlement tied to the official winner if the BO3 is completed.
The recent head-to-head is split evenly enough to explain why the market is so compressed only once live or near-confirmed match status is visible: Strafe’s match page says the teams have met 16 times, with each side winning eight. Comparable playoff meetings have gone both ways, including PARIVISION’s 2-0 win over Falcons in DreamLeague Season 27 in December 2025, so the historical record does not support a one-sided series on its own. That makes the current 100% YES price more a reflection of market mechanics and event confirmation than of any clear competitive mismatch.
For traders, the main catalysts are whether the match is officially underway, whether the schedule shifts again, and whether any upstream tournament delay affects the settlement window ending at 19:45 UTC. Gamereactor reported earlier on 21 May that the upper-bracket semi was set for 14:30 BST/15:30 CEST, and Hawk’s live listing shows a 13:30 GMT start time, so any discrepancy between listed and actual start times matters for a market with a defined seven-day backstop. If the series is abandoned, never played, or drifts too far beyond the scheduled date without a winner, the contract can still settle 50-50 under the terms.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeag… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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