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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Any Player Rampage 100% Volume: $212K Liquidity: $479K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Any Player Rampage100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Ends in Daytime9%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: DAN (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B at **0% YES** today, so the contract is effectively saying a Dandelions win is not being assigned any meaningful probability. On Polymarket, that means traders are currently valuing the USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional token on the Dandelions outcome at the floor, with the market instead implying the opposite side is overwhelmingly favoured in the live order book.

That reading fits the broader competitive context. A match listing for this same pairing shows a very one-sided price proxy of **7.92 to 1.05**, which is consistent with a heavily favoured Zero Tenacity side and little support for Dandelions entering the series[1]. For a best-of-three, the market is not just deciding who is stronger on paper, but whether Dandelions can take at least two maps before the set closes; that makes the 0% price especially sensitive to any sign of roster instability, substitute use, or a map veto edge that could make the underdog more live than the raw number suggests[1].

The main catalysts for traders are confirmation that the series starts on schedule, any official bracket or server update, and whether either team posts last-minute line-up changes or technical issues. Because the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the settlement mechanics matter as much as the result itself; once play begins, completion and official series ruling are what determine the token’s final value.

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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