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Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ends in Daytime 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 99% Volume: $1.7M Liquidity: $262K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?99%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?99%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?99%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

A best-of-two Dota 2 series between 1win and Team Yandex is scheduled for 7:30 AM ET on 12 July 2026 at the Esports World Cup in Paris, with Polymarket pricing the “More Markets” contract at 0% YES today. The on-chain instrument, settled in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, reflects no implied chance that additional betting markets will open for this matchup, despite the match being live within hours.

Historically, Esports World Cup Dota 2 matches featuring top-ranked CIS teams like Team Yandex (world rank 2) and 1win (rank 13) have rarely triggered extra markets unless a major upset occurs early in the group stage. In Group D, both teams currently sit tied at 3–0–1, mirroring past tournaments where balanced group dynamics suppressed secondary market creation, as seen in the 2024 and 2025 EWC editions where only winner-takes-all contracts were offered for similar BO2 clashes.

Traders should monitor the live score feed on DLTV and GosuGamers for any early game delays or format changes announced by the Esports World Cup organisers, as these are the primary catalysts for additional market launches. A recent update from FieldLevelMedia confirms both teams remain in contention for the group lead, but no official announcement has yet confirmed expanded market coverage for this specific series, leaving the 0% probability intact until new information emerges.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - More Markets on Kalshi UK

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