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Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% Map 3 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $185K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Map 3 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
O/U 4.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5)100%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5)100%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 4 Winner0%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: VP (-2.5) vs WW Team (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map Handicap: WW (-2.5) vs Virtus.pro (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)0%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs WW Team (+9.5)0%

Market context

Polymarket is currently pricing this WW Team-Virtus.pro best-of-five at **0% YES**, which on a conditional token market means the contract is trading as if a WW Team win is effectively impossible and the implied path is towards the Virtus.pro side unless the market is mispriced or stale. The market settles in USDC on Polygon, so holders are exposed to the event outcome rather than bookmaker-style odds, and the on-chain resolution rules matter: if the match is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50 instead of either team winning outright.

That zero price looks aggressive, but it is not out of step with recent form and comparable head-to-head results. Virtus.pro beat WW Team 2-1 in a recent CIS LAN group match and advanced to the playoffs, while WW Team were pushed into an elimination game after that loss.[3][5] Historical signals from similar CIS LAN meetings also favour Virtus.pro: in January, WW Team did win one series against VP, but the broader sample in 2026 has still tilted towards VP in this pairing.[8][12] In practical market terms, a 0% YES quote usually reflects either strong consensus, thin liquidity, or a contract that is already close to being fully arb’d by participants who expect a straightforward VP result.

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: whether the grand final actually starts on schedule, whether the bracket is revised, and whether any technical delay or walkover changes the settlement path. Current match listings show the fixture as a BO5 that had not yet started in the evening UTC window, so a last-minute scheduling change would matter more for this contract than the pre-match rhetoric.[1] Because Polymarket’s outcome depends on completion rules as well as the winner, any abandonment, forfeit, or postponement beyond the seven-day window could be more important than the map score itself.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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