Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
Market context
TYLOO has already defeated The Huns Esports 2-0 in a recent CS Asia Championships 2026 Asia match, securing their place in the Upper Bracket Final while sending The Huns to the Lower Bracket [1]. This decisive 0-2 result, with maps Mirage (10-13) and Nuke (11-13) both lost narrowly, underscores TYLOO’s current dominance in the region and explains the market’s 0% implied probability for a The Huns victory. Historically, when a team loses a BO3 semifinal 0-2 in Asian qualifiers, a reversal in a subsequent BO3 is exceptionally rare, especially when the losing side drops to lower bracket contention and faces fatigue or bracket pressure.
Traders should monitor official BLAST Open announcements regarding match rescheduling or cancellation, as the settlement window closes on 11 July 2026 at 12:50 UTC, just hours after the current time [1]. Any delay beyond seven days from the original 10 July ET start time would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a key on-chain mechanic for conditional tokens on Polygon using USDC. Recent coverage from HLTV notes TYLOO as the second-best team in the Asia-Pacific region, reinforcing their status as the clear favourite [6]. Watch for lineup changes or roster updates from either team, as these can shift odds rapidly in live Polymarket contracts.
The on-chain structure of this Polymarket contract means liquidity is locked in USDC on Polygon, with outcomes settled via conditional tokens tied directly to match completion. If the match begins but is not completed without a winner, the market resolves to 50-50, a critical risk for YES holders given the 0% current price. No moralising is needed: the data shows TYLOO’s superiority, and the market reflects that with near-zero belief in a The Huns win.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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