Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) | 0% Sashi Esport | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Sashi Esport (+6.5) | 0% Inner Circle Esports | 100% Sashi Esport |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Sashi Esport faces Inner Circle Esport in the Super DraculaN Group A lower bracket final, a CS2 match initially set for 2:00 PM ET on 25 June. On Polymarket today, the contract for Sashi winning trades at 0% USDC, reflecting a near-certain crowd expectation that Inner Circle will prevail. This pricing sits on the Polygon chain, where conditional tokens lock the outcome to the declared winner, with settlement finalising once the match concludes or expires.
Historical lower bracket finals in CS2 often see the higher-ranked side dominate when the lower-ranked team shows fragility, mirroring recent LAN eliminations where Sashi was knocked out while Inner Circle advanced to quarter-finals[7]. In comparable BO3 scenarios, teams with a 2–0 map lead rarely lose the series, and Inner Circle’s recent 2–0 victory over Lazer Cats suggests similar form[6]. The 0% price aligns with past cases where one team’s elimination was confirmed before the match even began, making the outcome effectively predetermined.
Traders should monitor official Liquipedia updates for any match cancellation or delay beyond seven days, which would reset the market to 50–50[3]. Key catalysts include the live score feed on Sofascore, which tracks map-by-map results, and any sudden roster changes announced by the teams[4]. Recent tournament coverage confirms Inner Circle’s quarter-final progression, reinforcing the market’s confidence in their superiority[7]. No further announcements are expected before settlement, which ends at 02:00 UTC on 26 June 2026.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports… on Kalshi UK
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