Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket's conditional token structure currently reflects zero probability for ex-RUBY's victory in this Counter-Strike best-of-three, with USDC liquidity on Polygon pricing the match as a near-certain Rune Eaters win. The match itself—scheduled for 25 May at 1:00 PM ET as part of CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage—represents a Round 1 encounter between two European squads competing in a tier-two regional circuit. Settlement occurs on-chain at 23:00 UTC that same day, with the 7-day grace period for delayed matches built into the contract's resolution criteria.

The 0% implied probability warrants scrutiny against comparable CCT Europe fixtures and the competitive standing of both rosters. Rune Eaters have established themselves as consistent performers in regional qualifiers, whilst ex-RUBY operates with a less stable lineup and recent map pool vulnerabilities. Historical CCT Europe Group Stage matches between similarly-ranked teams show occasional upsets, though the current pricing suggests market participants view this particular matchup as heavily asymmetrical. The absence of recent roster changes or injury announcements for either side means the pre-match conditions remain stable relative to when odds were set.

Traders should monitor CCT Europe's official schedule for any postponement notices, which would trigger the 7-day delay clause. Roster confirmations and stand-in announcements—particularly for ex-RUBY—represent the primary catalyst that could shift conditional token valuations. Map veto announcements typically occur hours before match start and can reveal strategic preparation levels, though these occur too late to affect Polygon settlement mechanics materially.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.