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Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 56% Match Winner 52% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) 51% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $149K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner56%
Match Winner52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 1 Winner46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)39%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)37%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)27%

Market context

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 56%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between NIP and 3DMAX in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Cl… on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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