Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5) | 0% TDK | 100% Team Nemesis |
| Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | 0% TDK | 100% Team Nemesis |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs TDK (+6.5) | 0% Team Nemesis | 100% TDK |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) | 100% TDK | 0% Team Nemesis |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing **Team Nemesis vs TDK** at **50% YES**, which points to a near coin-flip on the Polymarket contract rather than a clear read on the map scoreline. Because the market settles via USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, the key question is not who looks slightly stronger on paper, but which team actually wins this BO3 before the settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC. The listed match start is 08:00, so traders are mainly exposed to whether the fixture is played as scheduled, completed, and resolved inside the seven-day rule.
The historical frame is thin but useful: Strafe records three previous head-to-head meetings between Team Nemesis and TDK, with Nemesis winning two and TDK one. That sort of limited series history is not enough to anchor a strong edge, especially in Counter-Strike where roster changes, map vetoes, and short-form variance can overwhelm past results. For a market sitting right on 50%, the implication is that the crowd is treating prior meetings as only modestly informative, not decisive.
The live catalysts are straightforward: confirmation that the quarter-final actually begins, whether either side fields the same roster expected for the event, and whether any schedule slip pushes the match beyond the settlement rules. If the game is delayed, interrupted, or abandoned, the contract’s fallback mechanics matter as much as the scoreboard; if it is not played at all, or cannot produce a winner within seven days, it resolves 50-50. Match listings from event trackers currently show the fixture as scheduled for 20 June, which is the main signal to watch for any last-minute rescheduling.[1][2]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Euro… on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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