Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MOUZ are priced at 72% on Polymarket to beat paiN in this CS Asia Championships Group A lower-bracket final, with USDC on Polygon backing conditional tokens that settle to MOUZ, paiN, or a 50-50 fallback if the match is not completed within the market terms. That level implies the contract is already giving MOUZ a clear edge, but not a near-lock: there is still room for the market to move if the series date, format, or line-up news shifts before the settlement window closes.

The current price sits between MOUZ’s stronger recent record and the fact that paiN have already shown they can survive this bracket. BO3.gg notes MOUZ have been in solid form and carry good map-specific numbers on Mirage and Inferno, while also listing them around 1.62 on the moneyline for this fixture. Strafe user voting is even more lopsided, with 85.7% backing MOUZ, which suggests the 72% contract price is not unusually aggressive. In practical terms, traders are weighing a favourite with better recent consistency against the possibility of a competitive best-of-three rather than a simple sweep.

The main catalysts are straightforward: official start time, any schedule slip, and whether both line-ups remain intact before the match. Field Level Media reported that MOUZ reached the lower-bracket final after 2-1 wins over NRG and M80, while paiN advanced by sweeping BC, so both teams have already cleared different types of opposition in the event. That matters because a delay beyond seven days, a cancellation, or a no-contest outcome would push the market to 50-50 under the contract rules, regardless of pre-match pricing.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.