Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this TheMongolZ v Liquid best-of-three at 100% for TheMongolZ, so the contract is effectively trading as if a win is already locked in. On Polymarket, that means USDC is being used to buy conditional tokens on Polygon that settle to the named outcome if the match result is officially recorded; with the market already pinned, any movement is more likely to come from settlement risk than from a genuine read on the series. The match sits in the CS Asia Championships Group B lower bracket, with the scheduled start listed for 21 May at 5:00am ET and the settlement window closing later today.
For context, TheMongolZ have been one of the strongest Asian line-ups in Counter-Strike 2 over the past year, including a run to the Esports World Cup 2025 title and a Major grand final appearance, while Liquid remain an established international roster but have been far less consistent in recent elite events. In comparable group-stage or lower-bracket BO3s, markets tend to tighten only when there is credible doubt over line-up strength, travel, or a map veto mismatch; here, the 100% price suggests traders are assuming either a completed result or that the contract is already near-final settlement rather than a live competitive assessment.
What matters now is whether the official tournament feed, Liquipedia-style match pages, or broadcast schedule confirms the series as played and completed before the settlement cutoff. The main catalyst is not pre-match hype but operational updates: a delay, replay, admin ruling, or feed discrepancy could matter more than form. Coverage from Dust2.us and tournament listings on 20–21 May point to the event continuing on schedule in Shanghai, so the key watch is the organiser’s result entry and any late bracket change, since a match that begins but is not completed can still settle under the market’s completion rules if an official winner is assigned.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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