Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Keyd and paiN Academy face off in a Counter-Strike quarterfinal within the CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs, scheduled for 23 May at 3:00PM ET. The match is a best-of-three format, with Polymarket currently pricing this contract at 100% YES—reflecting either exceptionally high confidence in Keyd's victory or, more likely given the extreme probability, minimal liquidity and trading activity on this particular fixture. The settlement window extends to 24 May at 01:00 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time.
Historical precedent from CCT regional competitions shows that South American Counter-Strike fixtures rarely cancel outright, though delays of several hours are not uncommon due to technical issues or scheduling conflicts. When matches do proceed, upsets occur regularly enough that 100% pricing typically signals low market participation rather than genuine certainty. Keyd has historically been the stronger regional side, but paiN Academy's recent form and roster composition merit examination before treating this as a foregone conclusion.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements and team social media for any postponements or roster changes in the 48 hours preceding the match. Internet connectivity disruptions, which occasionally affect South American esports broadcasts, could trigger the seven-day delay clause and force a 50-50 resolution. The USDC settlement on Polygon will execute once a definitive winner is confirmed by official tournament records, though the extreme probability suggests most traders have already positioned or abandoned this contract entirely.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT Sou… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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