Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The contract on Polymarket for the Svenska CS-Ligan lower-bracket semifinal between Johnny Speeds and roamsfiest is currently priced at 0% for a Johnny Speeds win, reflecting a near-total market consensus that the outcome is impossible or the event has already been resolved. This USDC-denominated conditional token on the Polygon network sits with a maximum payout of $0, indicating that liquidity providers have withdrawn exposure due to the verified verification status from HLTL and Gamers World, which confirms the match outcome is already settled before the settlement window closes on 27 June 2026.

Historically, prediction markets for Counter-Strike matches in C-Tier Swedish tournaments like this one have collapsed to 0% when the underlying event is verified as completed or cancelled prior to the scheduled broadcast time, as seen in similar Kalshi contracts where the outcome was confirmed via HLTV before the settlement deadline. In these cases, the on-chain mechanics immediately freeze the conditional token, rendering it worthless because the resolution condition has already been met, leaving traders with no avenue for profit regardless of the original crowd-implied probability.

Traders should monitor the official Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 schedule on Liquipedia for any announcements regarding match delays, cancellations, or tie resolutions that could trigger the 50-50 fallback clause, though current data suggests the match has already concluded. Recent coverage from Twitch of the Svenska Elitserien Final between Johnny Speeds and Alliance confirms the team’s active participation in the tournament circuit, but no new dependencies have emerged that would alter the verified outcome already recorded by HLTV.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.