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Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 86% Map 1 Winner 78% Map 2 Winner 77% Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5) 60% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $202K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner86%
Map 1 Winner78%
Map 2 Winner77%
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)60%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)60%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)60%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.543%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.542%
O/U 2.5 Games33%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 86% YES probability for Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between GenOne and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 28 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Eur… on Kalshi UK

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