Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
68% | 32% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
68% | 32% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 59% YES | 42% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing Team Falcons at 66% to beat Legacy in this best-of-three at the CS Asia Championships Group A upper-bracket final, with the contract settling in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens. That implies the market is favouring Falcons, but still leaving a meaningful chance of an upset if Legacy can convert map picks or force a long series. For users holding the Yes side, the key practical point is that settlement depends on the official match result as defined in the market rules, not on pre-match rankings or outside narrative.
The current price sits in the range often seen for a clear but not dominant favourite in a bo3: enough edge to be backed by form, yet still sensitive to veto quality and one strong map from the underdog. Falcons have entered the event as the more established tier-one side, and recent betting boards from BO3.gg also listed them as favourite, but the gap is not so wide that a single slow start would look anomalous. In conditional-token terms, that means the contract is fairly exposed to ordinary Counter-Strike variance rather than to an extreme mismatch.
Traders should watch for any official schedule changes, server issues, or late roster news before the settlement window closes at 09:00 UTC on 22 May. The match is scheduled for late on 21 May local time and has been widely listed by event trackers, including BO3.gg and Cybersport.ru, so the main catalyst is whether it starts and finishes as planned. If the series is not completed and the event rules trigger a no-result or abandonment outcome, the market’s fallback mechanics could matter more than the on-server scoreline.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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