Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Upper bracket final of the Super DraculaN Group B pits ECHO against Walczaki in a decisive BO3 match scheduled for 11:00 AM ET today, 25 June 2026. Polymarket prices this contract at a 100% YES probability for ECHO, reflecting near-total confidence in their victory on the USDC-backed, Polygon-secured conditional tokens platform. This pricing suggests the market views Walczaki’s chances as negligible, a stance that aligns with recent on-chain liquidity flows favouring the Filipino squad.

Historically, such absolute pricing in CS2 BO3s has preceded matches where one side dominates through superior map control and individual form, as seen when Alliance dismantled Walczaki in the Tipsport Conquest of Prague LAN Playoff, taking the series 2–0 with minimal resistance [1]. Comparable cases, like Walczaki’s earlier 3–1 loss to Legacy, further illustrate how open deficits in team cohesion can lead to rapid market consensus, rendering the opposing side’s victory odds effectively zero before the first map begins.

Traders should monitor the official match broadcast link and any pre-game announcements regarding player availability or technical dependencies, as these could trigger conditional token settlements if the match is delayed beyond seven days or cancelled entirely [4]. Recent coverage from Scores24 confirms the match is live today, but any forfeiture or incomplete resolution would reset the market to a 50–50 outcome, a dependency that remains the sole catalyst for price movement despite the current 100% pricing [5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.