Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Bounty Hunters versus MIBR Academy is the Round of 16 tie in CCT South America Series 2, and Polymarket is effectively pricing the YES side at 100 cents on USDC terms for a Bounty Hunters win. On Polygon, that means the conditional token market is already treating the match outcome as fully decided, even though the settlement rule still depends on the game being played and producing a winner before the window closes.
The form and matchup data point in the same direction. Dust2.us shows Bounty Hunters beating MIBR Academy in their recent head-to-head sample, with Bounty Hunters winning 3 of their latest 5 and MIBR Academy losing 3 of 5, while GosuGamers lists Bounty Hunters ahead in ranking and records the playoff series result as a 2:1 Bounty Hunters win. Liquipedia’s tournament coverage also places the fixture inside CCT South America Series 2’s playoff stage, which is the sort of bracket context traders usually use to separate a live match from a mere scheduled listing. When a contract is already pinned to 100% YES, the main question becomes whether anything in the market structure could still force a different resolution, not whether the favourite is strong.
The practical catalysts are scheduling and confirmation rather than in-play performance: whether the match has in fact been played, whether the result is official, and whether there is any postponement that could push settlement outside the market window. Recent live score and match pages from GosuGamers indicate the game took place on 22 May, which reduces cancellation risk, but Polymarket traders still watch for bracket changes, technical delays, or correction notices from the tournament organiser and score providers. If no winner had been determined by the deadline, the contract’s fallback would be 50-50, so the key dependency is whether the recorded result is final before the settlement cut-off.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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