Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Upper bracket final in Super DraculaN Group A pits Acend against Sharks Esports in a BO3 Counter-Strike 2 match, originally set for 11:00 AM ET on 25 June 2026. On-chain, Polymarket prices the “Acend” contract at 0% YES today, implying the market believes Acend has effectively no chance of winning this specific contest.

Historical precedents in CS2 upper bracket finals show that a 0% price often signals a severe mismatch in recent form or a known roster deficit, rather than a mere statistical outlier. In the 2025 DraculaN Season 6, a similar 0% price for a lower-ranked team in an upper bracket final preceded a 2–0 loss, as the higher-ranked side dominated every map with superior tactical execution and map control.

Traders should monitor the official match status on Ensigame and Liquipedia for any cancellation, delay, or forfeiture announcements, as these would trigger the 50–50 settlement clause. Recent live data from Kalshi confirms Sharks already leads 1–0 in the ongoing series, with the second map at 13–5, suggesting the match is underway and Acend’s win probability has collapsed in real time [2]. Watch for official roster updates or schedule changes on the Super DraculaN Group A bracket page, as dependencies like server issues or player availability could alter the outcome before the 22:35 UTC settlement window closes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.