Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Acend | 100% ECHO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Acend | 0% ECHO |
| Match Winner | 100% Acend | 0% ECHO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Acend, ranked 59 globally, face ECHO, ranked 66, in the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 of the Super DraculaN Playoffs, scheduled for 15:00 UTC today. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES for Acend, implying the crowd expects ECHO to win or the match to be voided. The on-chain mechanics utilise USDC on Polygon with conditional tokens, meaning settlement occurs automatically once the outcome is verified, with no manual intervention required.
Historically, matches between teams with such narrow ranking gaps (59 vs 66) often produce volatile outcomes, yet a 0% price is extreme and typically signals a perceived structural disadvantage or a high risk of cancellation. In prior Super DraculaN seasons, Bo3 matches between low-seeded playoff entrants have occasionally been delayed or forfeited, leading to 50-50 settlements, which may explain the current pricing anomaly where traders avoid the Acend side entirely.
Traders must monitor the official map pool announcement, which remains unknown, and watch for any roster changes or disqualification notices from the tournament organiser. Acend recently confirmed their entry as Bulgaria’s #1 team, but no further updates on their readiness have been issued since their last announcement. The Liquipedia wiki confirms all non-grand-final matches are Bo3, and any delay beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution, a critical dependency for this market’s settlement window ending 2026-06-28.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN… on Kalshi UK
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