Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Polymarket has this Liquid-3DMAX BO3 priced at 56% YES, so the market is leaning modestly towards 3DMAX on the USDC-settled Polygon contract rather than treating it as a clear coin flip. That sits close to the sort of price you would expect in a match where neither side is dominant on paper, and where the outcome can move quickly if vetoes, map comfort, or an early pistol swing change the shape of the series. Because the contract resolves via conditional tokens rather than sportsbook-style settlement, only the final match result matters unless the fixture is cancelled, tied, or pushed beyond the seven-day window.
The recent comparable reference point is the teams’ own history: Liquid and 3DMAX have already met in this event cycle, and Liquipedia shows 3DMAX’s broader 2026 schedule has been built around S-tier LAN play, including IEM Rio in April. That matters because Polymarket prices are usually sensitive to whether a side has been facing stronger opposition and how recent results have translated across formats. In a BO3, the crowd often moves away from a pure team-strength read and towards map pool depth, which is why a mid-50s price usually implies traders think the edge is real but not robust.
The main catalysts are straightforward: official scheduling confirmation, any delay in the CS Asia Championships lower-bracket round, and whether the series actually starts within the settlement window ending 2026-05-21T09:00:00Z. This market is currently for a match initially listed for 20 May at 11:00pm ET, so any change to the bracket timetable or a venue-side postponement could matter more than pre-match form. For context, GosuGamers has already listed Liquid’s next match against 3DMAX in the same event, which supports that the fixture is active rather than speculative, but traders will still want to see the organiser’s final go-ahead before the contract’s USDC outcome is effectively locked in.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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