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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) 62% Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) 59% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) 59% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 57% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $341K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)62%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)59%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)59%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.557%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)54%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.544%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.542%
O/U 2.5 Games36%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)34%
Map 1 Winner28%
Map 2 Winner23%
Match Winner17%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier prediction market currently prices this outcome at 62% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 100 Thieves and Spirit in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 26 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "100…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST … on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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