STRC hits $100 by…

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this STRC contract at **0% YES** today, which means traders are assigning no visible chance that any TradingView 1-minute candle prints a **$100 high** before the settlement deadline. On Polymarket, buyers lock in **USDC on Polygon**, and the market resolves through **conditional tokens**, so the price is really a live read on whether the STRC chart can touch that threshold rather than a view on fair value or end-of-day closes.

The nearest historical frame is STRC’s own pull back from the **$100.42** upper end of its 52-week range, alongside repeated commentary that the issuer wants the stock to trade around **$99 to $100**. Yahoo Finance reported that Michael Saylor reiterated on X that Strategy’s objective remains for STRC to trade between **$99 and $100**, while STRC was still about **$13** below par at the time of that note.[2][19] That makes the market less about a distant valuation target and more about whether a brief intraday spike can clear a level the stock has already approached before.[20]

For traders, the main catalysts are the ones that can move a preferred stock in a narrow band quickly: fresh Strategy commentary, any change in dividend expectations, and Bitcoin moves that alter sentiment around the company’s balance sheet. Yahoo Finance reported that investors had been pricing a meaningful chance of a dividend increase rather than suspension, while another report said an ex-Goldman credit veteran valued STRC near **$96** and linked higher prices to stronger Bitcoin.[3][11] The key practical point is the chart mechanic: only a **1-minute TradingView high** at or above **$100** counts, so on-chain Polymarket pricing is really reflecting the odds of a transient wick, not just a sustained move above par.[10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews STRC hits $100 by… across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.