Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-9.5) vs 9INE (+9.5) | 0% GamerLegion | 100% 9INE |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% 9INE | 0% GamerLegion |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5) | 51% GamerLegion | 50% 9INE |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% 9INE | 0% GamerLegion |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The Counter-Strike 2 match between 9INE and GamerLegion, originally set for 11:00 AM ET on 24 June 2026 in the Super DraculaN Group A lower bracket, has already been played with GamerLegion securing a decisive 2-0 victory in the upper bracket earlier this tournament cycle. Current Polymarket pricing reflects this outcome at 0% YES for 9INE, aligning with the on-chain conditional tokens that resolve based on the declared winner rather than abstract probability. The contract, settled in USDC on Polygon, will expire once a winner is confirmed, mirroring how similar CS2 markets have closed after decisive results in recent tournaments.
Historical precedents show that when a team like GamerLegion has already defeated 9INE twice in the same event, as seen in their 2-0 upper bracket win on Ancient (13-6) and Inferno (13-7), lower bracket rematches rarely reverse the momentum, with Polymarket data indicating near-zero odds for the underdog in comparable scenarios. Traders should monitor the official Liquipedia tournament timeline for any schedule adjustments or cancellation notices, though the match has already concluded. A recent EGamersWorld report confirms GamerLegion’s advancement to the upper bracket semi-finals, reinforcing the market’s current pricing as a factual reflection of the completed event rather than speculative guesswork.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super Dr… on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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